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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:33 am
by TheCatt
A handful at predictIt.

Trump self-pardon being the most interesting one, probably.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:40 am
by TheCatt
I don't know if this is more accurate than anywhere else, but real-time markets given the edge to Biden, and give him NV, WI, MI, and PA.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:51 am
by TheCatt
OK, I'm not seeking out election stuff, but was browsing reddit and saw this analysis of Georgia that gives Biden a good change.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:05 am
by Leisher
The Trump and Giuliani pardons are interesting.

The Epstein one is stupid. That cunt is dead. Pardoning him would just out the person doing the pardoning.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:14 pm
by Leisher
I'm hearing PA to Trump and now AZ might actually be moving his way too. Apparently the unreported votes are from red areas.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:46 pm
by TheCatt
TheCatt wrote: AZ + PA are the toss-ups.
Still true.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:53 pm
by Troy
The Vegas lines have shifted back and forth Dramatically. A smart bettor could have placed hedge bets in the last 24 hours on both candidates and be waiting on risk free returns at this point.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 4:38 pm
by TheCatt
MI - Biden...

Vegas/real-time polls are giving him 80% now. Oh wait, Bovada up to 88%

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:04 pm
by Troy
Nevada may be the magic state today that puts a candidate over the edge.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:22 pm
by GORDON
I frequently vacation in the southwest. Aside from single-issue-voting against W because of Yucca Mountain, I can't believe they aren't all deep red out there.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:54 pm
by Troy
GORDON wrote: I frequently vacation in the southwest. Aside from single-issue-voting against W because of Yucca Mountain, I can't believe they aren't all deep red out there.
California is bleeding that directions. I know some people who left CA for NV, and took their politics with them.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:56 pm
by GORDON
Serious question: are native Americans on reservations allowed to vote in USA elections? Honestly don't know.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:10 pm
by Leisher
I really wish they'd hurry up and end this shit.

I also wish every state we're still waiting on would look to Florida for tips on how to improve voting and tabulating the results.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:12 pm
by GORDON
It typically doesn't take states this long to count ballots. Makes me think Trump won and they're stalling trying to think of how to not let that happen while the room is full of lawyers and everyone is watching.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:35 pm
by TheCatt
GORDON wrote: It typically doesn't take states this long to count ballots. Makes me think Trump won and they're stalling trying to think of how to not let that happen while the room is full of lawyers and everyone is watching.
Oh, please. We don’t normally have this volume of mail in ballots. And often they’re not allowed to start counting those pallets until election day

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:56 pm
by Leisher
Apparently Nate Silver says Fox and the AP need to retract their call of AZ to Biden. I guess the mail in votes are strongly Trump.

Are we going to know who the president is by 2021?

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Thu Nov 05, 2020 12:01 am
by Troy
I know people that think Georgia is about to go Biden. I'm dubious but they would be the ones to know.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Thu Nov 05, 2020 2:02 am
by Troy
Troy wrote: I know people that think Georgia is about to go Biden. I'm dubious but they would be the ones to know.


Yeah it's getting late my time and I'm not seeing what they see. Foolhardy Atlantans.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:20 am
by TheCatt
Leisher wrote: Apparently Nate Silver says Fox and the AP need to retract their call of AZ to Biden. I guess the mail in votes are strongly Trump.

Are we going to know who the president is by 2021?
Looks like it should be recalled.

Georgia: Gap is < 20k now between them; WSJ shows a gap of 8.1k.

DTMan 2020 Predictions

Posted: Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:27 am
by TheCatt
Trump still has a chance at 270


All he has to do is lose 50lbs.