DTMan 2020 Predictions
DTMan 2020 Predictions
It was my understanding that there would be rampant fraud.
"Be bold, and mighty forces will come to your aid."
DTMan 2020 Predictions
The markets are giving Biden more juice (predictit 64%, 538 89%), but the electoral spread is getting smaller. (290-305)
I bet on the following
AZ - Dems
Pres - Dems
SC - Graham
FL/TX/NC/KS/OH/IA - Reps
So far I'm up $30, plus $12 I realized earlier so $42.
I bet on the following
AZ - Dems
Pres - Dems
SC - Graham
FL/TX/NC/KS/OH/IA - Reps
So far I'm up $30, plus $12 I realized earlier so $42.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
BetFair - 35% Trump
538 - 89% Biden (347 electoral votes; 53-45% popular vote)
PredictIt - 38% Trump
DSQ - 85% Biden
I'm going to go ahead and lock in my prediction -
Biden wins: 305 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote. Trump gets like 232 and 46%. And, we know who won by end of Wednesday (bold)
NC/PA are the earliest states to watch. Followed by MI/WI/MN.
If Biden wins FL, GA, or OH - It's over for Trump. And probably the same for NC + PA if he wins both.
538 - 89% Biden (347 electoral votes; 53-45% popular vote)
PredictIt - 38% Trump
DSQ - 85% Biden
I'm going to go ahead and lock in my prediction -
Biden wins: 305 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote. Trump gets like 232 and 46%. And, we know who won by end of Wednesday (bold)
NC/PA are the earliest states to watch. Followed by MI/WI/MN.
If Biden wins FL, GA, or OH - It's over for Trump. And probably the same for NC + PA if he wins both.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I think these betting sites are taking things more seriously this time. Biden still the overwhelming favorite, but no more of that 99% Hillary stuff.
This being 2020, are there odds for a contested election we can bet on?
This being 2020, are there odds for a contested election we can bet on?
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Trump currently up 7% in IA.TheCatt wrote: FL/TX/NC/KS/OH/IA - Rep.
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 061937002/
"Be bold, and mighty forces will come to your aid."
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I feel less confident on my bold-Wednesday prediction. Feels more like a Friday, but I'm sticking to it. And same with the 305/51%.TheCatt wrote: BetFair - 35% Trump
538 - 89% Biden (347 electoral votes; 53-45% popular vote)
PredictIt - 38% Trump
DSQ - 85% Biden
I'm going to go ahead and lock in my prediction -
Biden wins: 305 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote. Trump gets like 232 and 46%. And, we know who won by end of Wednesday (bold)
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I predict chaos.
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
DTMan 2020 Predictions
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I predicted long ago a trump win, bigger margin than last time.
But i.prefer not four more years of anger and angst, so hoping for a biden win.
But i.prefer not four more years of anger and angst, so hoping for a biden win.
"Be bold, and mighty forces will come to your aid."
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I locked in $20 on KS senate race, and switched it to TX.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
PredictIt, real-time markets, have Biden climbing a bit, Trump sagging a bit. Overall, and in NC, PA, and AZ.
Although, then I refresh, and NC is back to Trump, but basically 50/50
Although, then I refresh, and NC is back to Trump, but basically 50/50
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Then back to 50-50.TheCatt wrote: NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.
Biden up to 66%, mostly mirroring what is happening in the PA market.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
The real-time markets broke. Stupid website.TheCatt wrote:Then back to 50-50.TheCatt wrote: NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.
Biden up to 66%, mostly mirroring what is happening in the PA market.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
538's final prediction.
I disagree on - FL, NC and Georgia.
AZ + PA are the toss-ups.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
