Given the time, money, and inclination, I could have written program generators that could have taken care of 95% of their programmer needs.
That's not true of the joint I work at.
We're about a decade away from this being something that will be automated by the creative coding bots, yes.
I'll see you in a decade.
The other 10% will take a bit longer to be automated but not much longer.
I'm waiting for the AI version of Johnnie Cochran 1.0.
Edited By Malcolm on 1428503991
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
TPRJones wrote:I suspect that once they nail down the finer points of Seacrest Bot then Cochran Bot will be not too far behind.
I think it's easier to make a human-machine hybrid than it is to make an AI with originality, creativity, and intuition comparable to a person. It's not the 'bots, dude, that I think will be the future. It's the 'borgs.
Edited By Malcolm on 1428540923
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
Their abilities will only continue to expand. Ray Kurzweil, director of engineering at Google, anticipates that by 2029 robots will have reached human levels of intelligence.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA. Not a fucking chance, Ray. What a shock. A dude that works with robots all day thinks they'll rule the world in under 15 years.
While one camp of experts predict that several unlucky Americans will be pushed out of work in the near future, others argue that this increase in computing prowess will simply eliminate old jobs and introduce new ones, resulting in a net-zero effect — or even an increase in jobs. New technology means new products and services, they argue, as we saw during the Industrial Revolution.
Boo-yah. Why I'm not worried.
Everyone in the world prior to the invention of refrigeration and the supermarket if they caught a time machine to today:
"HOLY SHIT! What do you people do with all your spare time?"
Edited By Malcolm on 1430678177
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
AI gets its ass kicked by most human poker players. I feel more secure about my career every day. Machines have shit for guile, deception, originality, and instinct.
Edited By Malcolm on 1431313714
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
TPRJones wrote:Iteration. In a year Claudio 2.0 will wipe them all out.
Your faith in electronic intelligence is nothing short of amazing. If all you want is deterministic number crunching, machines are awesome. If all you want is a state machine, they're still pretty good. If you want something with spontaneous creativity and sentience, they suck and will continue to suck until an earth-shattering learning algorithm is invented.
Edited By Malcolm on 1431364035
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
I don't think real creativity and sentience is possible on the current hardware paradigm. We've got a ways to go before that becomes a possible thing that might happen.
But simulated creativity and simulated sentience isn't that hard. Just a much more complex state machine.
Edited By TPRJones on 1431365010
"ATTENTION: Customers browsing porn must hold magazines with both hands at all times!"
TPRJones wrote:I don't think real creativity and sentience is possible on the current hardware paradigm. We've got a ways to go before that becomes a possible thing that might happen.
But simulated creativity and simulated sentience isn't that hard. Just a much more complex state machine.
Simulated creativity isn't good enough. It's not real. Machines know how to play within the rules, possibly better than anything else. They suck at writing their own. The last bit means they will always suck at certain tasks.
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
I still say machine + man has far more potential than just machine.
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
I agree with that Malcolm, but I think the hurdles involved with the interface are going to make the machine> man before the man-machine (or machine man w/ apologies to Marvel) > machine.
"... and then I was forced to walk the Trail of Tears." - Elizabeth Warren
Vince wrote:I agree with that Malcolm, but I think the hurdles involved with the interface are going to make the machine> man before the man-machine (or machine man w/ apologies to Marvel) > machine.
Not a chance. Already got people implanting chips in themselves to tap into all kinds of weird shit. You'll be able to grow organs around the electronics and genetically screen out all your shitty negative traits (like predisposition to shitty medical conditions) and swap them the fuck out when they wear down. We'll knock that shit out before we get a real, sentient AI.
Robots are nice for dangerous things like disarming bombs and launching projectiles in high-risk areas. But I want everyday improvements for me as well, not just some metallo-plastic droid. The brain's already a rather powerful CPU and SSD device. All you need is a stronger, more durable frame with a modular sensory I/O. Want to detect EM fields like a shark? Plug in the proper sensor into your bio-USB port, soon to be available on NewNewEgg. Want eyes that can switch up visible wavelengths like the Predator? Grow some new eyes and nerves in a vat. Donate the crappy old ones to charity, tax write off.
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."