Being President of the USA is only 1 in 10 million, but winning a gold medal is 1 in 23.4 million?
There is only one President of the United States, but 302 gold medals were given out at the last Summer Olympics.
Yeah, seemed like crap to me.
Although... the 1 in 10 million... out of what?
I mean, there's probably, what... 10 presidents during your electable years? 300 million people in the US? 1 in 30 million seems better odds.
302 gold medals, but 7 billion people, so 1 in 23 Million? But if you include lifetime, and the average person could be in, oh, let's say 4 olympics... 1 in 5.75 million?
Interesting. Running is apparently kicking ass. Swimming puts about a billion times less strain on your joints, though.
The misspelling is so much bonus.
Sprinkle in a few tantrums, and that dog is my 3 year old.
Even the dog food, milk bones, and tail?
302 gold medals, but 7 billion people, so 1 in 23 Million? But if you include lifetime, and the average person could be in, oh, let's say 4 olympics... 1 in 5.75 million?
Ok. Quick sanity check. There are maybe 300M people in the US. Assume you've got as even a chance as anyone else and you're up every 4 years. Let's say you are up every year starting at age 35 and you're electable up to 70. That's 35 years ~= 9 chances to get elected. 3/100M = 3/100M = 3 * 10 ^ -8 Depending how you play with those numbers, you could bullshit them to the 1:10M ratio, only an order of magnitude away.
Now, the Summer Olympics that take place every four years, you've got the rest of the world to compete with. 302 golds and you've got 302*(1/7B) chance to get one every four years you're physically able, which is a way shorter time frame. Even the best athletes make it to maybe four Olympics tops, so we'll say 4*302*(1/7B) = 1216/7B ~= 174/1B = 1.74 x 10 ^ -7. This is also bullshitable by an order of magnitude, depending on your numbers.
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
Malcolm wrote:Ok. Quick sanity check. There are maybe 300M people in the US. Assume you've got as even a chance as anyone else and you're up every 4 years. Let's say you are up every year starting at age 35 and you're electable up to 70. That's 35 years ~= 9 chances to get elected. 3/100M = 3/100M = 3 * 10 ^ -8 Depending how you play with those numbers, you could bullshit them to the 1:10M ratio, only an order of magnitude away.
Now, the Summer Olympics that take place every four years, you've got the rest of the world to compete with. 302 golds and you've got 302*(1/7B) chance to get one every four years you're physically able, which is a way shorter time frame. Even the best athletes make it to maybe four Olympics tops, so we'll say 4*302*(1/7B) = 1216/7B ~= 174/1B = 1.74 x 10 ^ -7. This is also bullshitable by an order of magnitude, depending on your numbers.
Yeah. Just saying it's well within the bullshit range.
Diogenes of Sinope: "It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours."
Arnold Judas Rimmer, BSC, SSC: "Better dead than smeg."
Yes, this is who it looks like. If you don't know, then you don't have kids that watch Nickelodeon.
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
That's Sam from iCarly and Sam and Cat (which was just cancelled because she and Cat were always fighting).
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
Leisher wrote:Yes, this is who it looks like. If you don't know, then you don't have kids that watch Nickelodeon.
That's Jennette McCurdy? My daughter watched her all the time on iCarley and Sam & Kat.
I was always impressed with her. She was one of the better actors on iCarley and she was an excellent dancer.
I remember there was some off-camera stuff that impressed me as well but I foget what it was.
I'm disappointed that she has a photo like that.
"Met this guy at a pub and we had an awesome time drinking, talking, and laughing but then..."
TheCatt wrote:She's not very attractive. butterface.
I'd hit it.
And all the girls from your next post.
I'm disappointed that she has a photo like that.
She has publicly stated that it was created for and sent to a single individual who leaked it after they broke up.
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
Yeah I just read that she sent it to one person.
And the article mentioned that a few weeks earlier she had made fun of that one person during an interview.
